I don’t know about you but I am feeling the warmth from the light at the end of the tunnel. President Trump releases the plan for opening up the country.
But is it a good idea and is his plan solid?
Oh My Gosh! Normalcy?!
The CDC and FEMA have created a plant to get the country running again. The plan is a phased plan and is not an “open everything” plan.
The President is suppose to make the announcement on Thursday. But, essentially, the plan is already in action and the start of the opening is scheduled for May 1.
The Washington Post got an early copy of the plan:
“CDC and FEMA officials have worked on the public health response for at least the past week, and the resulting document has been discussed at the White House, including by members of the coronavirus task force,” The Washington Post reported. “The version obtained by The Post appears to be an early draft by FEMA and contains granular instructions for a phased reopening of institutions such as schools, child-care facilities, summer camps, parks, faith-based organizations and restaurants.”
The plan places all communities in three catagories:
- Low Mitigation – communities where significant spread was never observed, can “re-open” soon
- Moderate Mitigation – former hot spots entering controlled recovery, limited mitigation communities observing increased, but contained transmission
- Significant Mitigation – current or emerging hot spots, moderate mitigation communities showing signs of strained capacity
Decisions on reopening individual communities – which will be made at the federal, state, and local levels – are contingent on:
- Confidence that incidence of infection is genuinely low.
- A surveillance system that is well functioning and capable of promptly detecting any increase in incidence.
- A public health system that is reacting robustly to all cases of COVID-19 and has surge capacity to react to an increase in incidence.
- A health system that has the capacity in all respects, including inpatient beds, staffing, an other services, to handle all cases and that is in a position to rapidly scale up to deal with a surge in cases.
“Based on the latest data, our team of experts now agrees that we can begin the next front in our war, which we are calling ‘opening up America again,” Trump said during the White House Coronavirus Task Force press briefing. “We are not opening all at once, but one careful step at a time.”
The administration released the proposed state or regional gating criteria (The following is from the DailyWire.com):
- SYMPTOMS:
- Downward trajectory of influenza-like illnesses (ILI) reported within a 14-day period AND Downward trajectory of covid-like syndromic cases reported within a 14-day period.
- CASES:
- Downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period OR Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of total tests within a 14-day period (flat or increasing volume of tests)
- HOSPITALS:
- Treat all patients without crisis care AND Robust testing program in place for at-risk healthcare workers, including emerging antibody testing.
The plan then breaks out three phases for opening up the country.
- PHASE ONE: For States And Regions That Satisfy The Gating Criteria:
- FOR INDIVIDUALS:
- ALL VULNERABLE INDIVIDUALS* should continue to shelter in place. Members of households with vulnerable residents should be aware that by returning to work or other environments where distancing is not practical, they could carry the virus back home. Precautions should be taken to isolate from vulnerable residents.
- All individuals, WHEN IN PUBLIC (e.g., parks, outdoor recreation areas, shopping areas), should maximize physical distance from others. Social settings of more than 10 people, where appropriate distancing may not be practical, should be avoided unless precautionary measures are observed.
- Avoid SOCIALIZING in groups of more than 10 people in circumstances that do not readily allow for appropriate physical distancing (e.g., receptions, trade shows)
- MINIMIZE NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL and adhere to CDC guidelines regarding isolation following travel.
- FOR EMPLOYERS:
-
- Continue to ENCOURAGE TELEWORK, whenever possible and feasible with business operations.
- If possible, RETURN TO WORK IN PHASES.
- Close COMMON AREAS where personnel are likely to congregate and interact, or enforce strict social distancing protocols.
- Minimize NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL and adhere to CDC guidelines regarding isolation following travel.
- Strongly consider SPECIAL ACCOMMODATIONS for personnel who are members of a VULNERABLE POPULATION.
- FOR SPECIFIC TYPES OF EMPLOYERS:
-
- SCHOOLS AND ORGANIZED YOUTH ACTIVITIES (e.g., daycare, camp) that are currently closed should remain closed.
- VISITS TO SENIOR LIVING FACILITIES AND HOSPITALS should be prohibited. Those who do interact with residents and patients must adhere to strict protocols regarding hygiene.
- LARGE VENUES (e.g., sit-down dining, movie theaters, sporting venues, places of worship) can operate under strict physical distancing protocols.
- ELECTIVE SURGERIES can resume, as clinically appropriate, on an outpatient basis at facilities that adhere to CMS guidelines.
- GYMS can open if they adhere to strict physical distancing and sanitation protocols.
- BARS should remain closed.
- FOR INDIVIDUALS:
- PHASE TWO: For States And Regions With No Evidence Of A Rebound And That Satisfy The Gating Criteria A Second Time:
-
- FOR INDIVIDUALS:
-
- ALL VULNERABLE INDIVIDUALS should continue to shelter in place. Members of households with vulnerable residents should be aware that by returning to work or other environments where distancing is not practical, they could carry the virus back home. Precautions should be taken to isolate from vulnerable residents.
- All individuals, WHEN IN PUBLIC (e.g., parks, outdoor recreation areas, shopping areas), should maximize physical distance from others. Social settings of more than 50 people, where appropriate distancing may not be practical, should be avoided unless precautionary measures are observed.
- NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL can resume.
- FOR EMPLOYERS:
-
- Continue to ENCOURAGE TELEWORK, whenever possible and feasible with business operations.
- Close COMMON AREAS where personnel are likely to congregate and interact, or enforce moderate social distancing protocols.
- NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL can resume.
- Strongly consider SPECIAL ACCOMMODATIONS for personnel who are members of a VULNERABLE POPULATION.
- FOR SPECIFIC TYPES OF EMPLOYERS:
-
- SCHOOLS AND ORGANIZED YOUTH ACTIVITIES (e.g., daycare, camp) can reopen.
- VISITS TO SENIOR CARE FACILITIES AND HOSPITALS should be prohibited. Those
who do interact with residents and patients must adhere to strict protocols regarding hygiene. - LARGE VENUES (e.g., sit-down dining, movie theaters, sporting venues, places of worship) can operate under moderate physical distancing protocols.
- ELECTIVE SURGERIES can resume, as clinically appropriate, on an outpatient and in-patient basis at facilities that adhere to CMS guidelines.
- GYMS can remain open if they adhere to strict physical distancing and sanitation protocols.
- BARS may operate with diminished standing-room occupancy, where applicable and appropriate.
- PHASE THREE: For States And Regions With No Evidence Of A Rebound And That Satisfy The Gating Criteria A Third Time:
-
- FOR INDIVIDUALS:
-
- VULNERABLE INDIVIDUALS can resume public interactions, but should practice physical distancing, minimizing exposure to social settings where distancing may not be practical, unless precautionary measures are observed.
- LOW-RISK POPULATIONS should consider minimizing time spent in crowded environments.
- FOR EMPLOYERS:
-
- Resume UNRESTRICTED STAFFING of worksites.
- FOR SPECIFIC TYPES OF EMPLOYERS:
-
- VISITS TO SENIOR CARE FACILITIES AND HOSPITALS can resume. Those who interact with residents and patients must be diligent regarding hygiene.
- LARGE VENUES (e.g., sit-down dining, movie theaters, sporting venues, places of worship) can operate under limited physical distancing protocols.
- GYMS can remain open if they adhere to standard sanitation protocols.
- BARS may operate with increased standing room occupancy, where applicable.
The plan says that vulnerable individuals include the elderly and those who have “serious underlying health conditions, including high blood pressure, chronic lung disease, diabetes, obesity, asthma, and those whose immune system is compromised such as by chemotherapy for cancer and other conditions requiring such therapy.”
https://www.dailywire.com/news/cdc-fema-have-created-plan-to-reopen-america-heres-the-projected-start-date
What Do I Think of This?
As far as the plan that I know of based on the reports on Wednesday, it is a good plan. Well, it’s the best plan one can come up with considering the information we have.
It does a couple of things well:
- It is a phased approach. We’re not going to open everything at the same time.
- It rates areas of infection. More information would have been better in order to be more accurate in the classification of communities. But it’s something.
- It looks to classify communities, not just states and cities. It is important to go slow and open pockets of our civilization.
- It gives states and local governments control the decisions. For some reason, people were fighting whether opening the economy was a federal or state decision. This was a stupid contraversy. Now we see, in the long run, it is going to be a community decision. This is huge.
- The plan has been set up as scalable. It is defined an macro-phases not micro-phases. The reality is some decisions are not going to work. But this plan allows to take a macro-change and make little changes to perfect it. We’ve never been through anything like this and a plan needs to be written in pencil, not pen.
- The CDC, FEMA, the Corona Virus task force and the state’s governors are involved. This is not President Trump saying, “Let’s do this now!” He’s letting the professionals make the recommendations and letting the governors help.
- Finally, it is a plan. The light at the end of the tunnel can be seen. There’s hope.
There are some problems with this plan:
- This whole thing depends on the models and the numbers being plugged into the statistics. None of which looks good for understanding what this virus is about. Remember that the death toll would be between 100,000 and 240,000. That’s kind of a bad range. But now they’re saying it could be as low as 60,000. Not great stats.
- Viruses like these have a tendency to be seasonal. The flattening of the curving could be that it’s getting warmer. Could this thing come back in the fall and start all over?
- What about a second wave? Is that possible?
This is going to be politicized by the Democrats and media But this is to be expected. They want to economy shut down until at least November. Because the economy is going to go back up when it opens again. And Trump is going to look like a hero. If one person dies because he catches the virus while going back to work, Trump is going to have, “blood on his hands.”
We already see some of this from Andrew Cuomo and the rest of the Dems in the northeast states that want to increase the stay-at-home order until May 15th. It’s their states. They can do what they want.
no matter what happens, Trump is going to get crap. Opening up the economy is the best way to handle this mess.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-announces-new-coronavirus-guidelines-for-opening-up-america-again
https://www.dailywire.com/news/breaking-trump-releases-opening-up-america-guidelines