Episode 115 Show Notes – Looking Like a Genius

Iran has finally struck back against The United States for the killing of Qessem Soleimani. Sort of. Trump confirms that World War III has ended in about 72 hours, but it this really the end? Democrats continue to doom-say. And the media is doing yeoman’s work covering this and for making Iran and Soleimani look like heroes. .

 

Revenge?

Last night, Iran launched 22 ballistic missiles aimed at Iraqi bases holding American soldiers. Trump gathered his security council and watched for reports. He said he would address the nation after reports came in.

What was different about this attack was the missiles originated from Iran and they weren’t just rockets.

In total, eighteen missiles landed, four never detonated and there were casualties reported.

As the hours passed, there were no American casualties and reports stated there may not be any Iraqi casualties. Trump cancels his address to the nation. Instead, he Tweeted:

The Iranian ambassador also made announcement, again, via Twitter:

Then there was the Ayatollah:

This is why I wait 24 hours.

The next morning, we find that there were no casualties and the missiles did not hit any populated bases.

We also find out the Iran contacted Iraq and warned them that there was going to be an attack. Iraq contacted the United States and cleared the bases under attack.

Iran reported that 30 people were killed. The United States and reported that there were no casualties.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/irans-foreign-minister-we-do-not-seek-escalation-or-war-irans-supreme-leader-military-actions-not-enough
https://www.dailywire.com/news/breaking-iran-releases-statement-claiming-responsibility-for-attacks
https://www.foxnews.com/world/us-military-iran-iraq-missile-attack-warning-officials

 

Genius?

Trump made the following ten minute speech on Wednesday. Everyone could not wait:

There are a few things to look at with this speech.

We will remain strong and retaliate if Iran or any of its proxies kill Americans. This is huge.

The United States will place more sanctions on Iran for their attacks.

He has offered an olive branch and hopes for their success.

Trump did not tear Iran up or say how this was a set up or they were incompetent. This is big because Trump will give Iran the chance to save face.

Trump wants the rest of the world to realize that Iran is a menace.

Finally, World War III is over and Trump will deescalate.

This was one of his most important speeches in his Presidency and he hit it out of the park.

But is Iran now the eunuch we have always wanted them? Not at all. Here are some issues:

  • This could be a head-fake by Iran as pointed out by Dan Bongino. This could be to give Iran time to plan something big.
  • Iran will continue to poke at the United States with attacks. Trump has drawn a red line and he must make sure there will be consequences.
  • We need to monitor their nuclear program. It could be they are waiting to develop a nuclear bomb, creating a mutual assured destruction scenario (Dan Bongino).

 

I think the second scenario is most likely. I think this was an effort to save face. I also don’t think we’ve heard the end of them. I’m sure they will continue with their activities but distance themselves. These activities will avoid Americans and be smash-and-grab operations.

Iran has way too much to lose:

  • Iran’s army and revolutionary guard are huge. But that matters only in a ground war. Trump does not want a ground war.
  • Iran’s air force and navy are almost non-existent. It won’t take much to knock their military into the stone age.
  • Iran’s ballistic missiles are mobile and hard to hit, but their air defenses are way out of date.
  • Iran’s nuclear program may be a target. Our bunker buster bombs including the MOAB (Massive Ordinance Air Blast bomb) have proven extremely effective.
  • If we hit only a couple of Iran’s oil refineries, Iran’s economy would be toast.

 

Iran cannot have a relationship with the United States. I love Trump’s reaching out but it won’t happen.

 

Who’s Side Are You On, Anyway?

The press has been a disaster in this whole thing. Listen to this montage by Grabian actually mourning the loss of Qessem Soleimani:

When Soleimani was killed, we heard what kind of hero was killed and how Trump destabilized the Middle East and how they now hate us. Please.

When Iran made threats, they said that Trump is starting World War III. No, he was setting a precedence of deterrence.

Now that World War III is not happening, after a day, they are saying it was because of the reasonable leadership in Iran that countered our insane orange man.

Ugh. These guys are pushing propaganda.